Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025

Costa Amalfi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fidelis Andria play Costa Amalfi in the Serie D - Group H 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fidelis Andria averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. Costa Amalfi averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Fidelis Andria won 1, Costa Amalfi won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 30, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Fidelis Andria and 0.94 for Costa Amalfi. This points to a Fidelis Andria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Fidelis Andria

29%

Draws

19%

Costa Amalfi

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Fidelis Andria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Fidelis Andria picked up more points recently compared to Costa Amalfi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 24%

Costa Amalfi Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fidelis Andria	Costa Amalfi
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	12	3
Draws	8	10
Losses	12	17
Goals Scored	1.03	0.8
Goals Conceded	0.84	1.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group H

Fidelis Andria vs Costa Amalfi

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group H

Costa Amalfi vs Fidelis Andria

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fidelis Andria Compare

Top Goalscorer Rotondi C. M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tedesco G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Costa Amalfi Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fidelis Andria 52 / 100

Costa Amalfi 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fidelis Andria Costa Amalfi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fidelis Andria or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fidelis Andria attacking → ← attacking Costa Amalfi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fidelis Andria scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Costa Amalfi let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Fidelis Andria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Costa Amalfi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 19

0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Casarano	34	21	11	2	72:30	74
2	Nocerina	34	20	10	4	64:27	70
3	Martina Calcio	34	17	11	6	48:28	62
4	Fidelis Andria	34	16	9	9	41:29	57
5	Citta di Fasano	34	13	11	10	45:32	50
6	Matera	34	12	13	9	51:47	49
7	Virtus Francavilla	34	12	11	11	41:34	47
8	A.C.D. Nardo	34	13	8	13	47:45	47
9	Ischia	34	11	12	11	39:45	45
10	Palmese 1914	34	10	12	12	41:45	42
11	Gravina	34	11	9	14	43:46	42
12	Francavilla	34	11	8	15	28:34	41
13	Acerrana	34	11	8	15	37:50	41
14	ASD Ugento	34	10	7	17	33:51	37
15	Manfredonia	34	8	11	15	33:51	35
16	Brindisi	34	9	14	11	44:43	27
17	Angri	34	6	8	20	35:69	26
18	Costa Amalfi	34	3	11	20	26:62	20