Sport Picks
Fidelis Andria vs Gravina Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group H 
Match Events
10'
10'
Musy M.
28'
28'
Qeros F.
78'
78'
Chiaradia G.
AI Match Summary
Gravina in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gravina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gravina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gravina lately — more wins on the board than Fidelis Andria.
- Gravina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 11%
Gravina Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fidelis Andria | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Gravina
1:3
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Fidelis Andria
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Gravina
4:1
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Gravina
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Fidelis Andria
1:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fidelis Andria Compare
Top Goalscorer Musy M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Gravina Compare
Top Goalscorer Qeros F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Chiaradia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fidelis Andria 10 / 100
Gravina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fidelis Andria Gravina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gravina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Attacking prowess: Fidelis Andria scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Gravina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Fidelis Andria went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fidelis Andria VS Gravina
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Fidelis Andria
(Home) 27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0 Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2 Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1 Manfredonia
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0 Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3 Gravina
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1 Manfredonia
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3 Gravina
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2 Pompei
19 Apr
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1 Sarnese
02 Apr
Fidelis Andria
0 : 0 Francavilla
Page 1 of 3
Gravina
(Away) 27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0 Gravina
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2 Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0 Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3 Gravina
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0 Gravina
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0 Gravina
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3 Gravina
26 Apr
Afragolese
0 : 6 Gravina
12 Apr
Ferrandina
0 : 5 Gravina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Bisceglie | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Turris | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Nocerina | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Normanna | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Martina Calcio | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 7 | Manfredonia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Gravina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Real Forio 2014 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Ebolitana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 11 | San Felice Gladiator | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 12 | Brindisi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 13 | A.C.D. Nardo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 14 | Melfi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Palmese 1914 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 16 | Francavilla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Ischia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 1 |
| 18 | Fidelis Andria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)
