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Fidelis Andria vs Heraclea

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Cordova F.

AI Match Summary

Fidelis Andria in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fidelis Andria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Fidelis Andria
30%
Draws
23%
Heraclea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fidelis Andria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fidelis Andria lately — more wins on the board than Heraclea.
  • Model gives Fidelis Andria a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 68%
Heraclea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fidelis Andria Heraclea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Heraclea
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Heraclea vs Fidelis Andria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fidelis Andria Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordova F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Heraclea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fidelis Andria 86 / 100
Heraclea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fidelis Andria Heraclea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fidelis Andria scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Heraclea has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fidelis Andria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fidelis Andria VS Heraclea
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fidelis Andria

(Home)
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
19 Apr
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Sarnese
12 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 2
Fidelis Andria
02 Apr
Fidelis Andria
0 : 0
Francavilla
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Heraclea

(Away)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1
Ferrandina
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
Heraclea
19 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 3
Barletta
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)