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Figline vs Montevarchi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Rosini S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Figline and Montevarchi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Figline.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Figline
35%
Draws
40%
Montevarchi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montevarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Figline haven't matched Montevarchi's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Figline Clean Sheet 22%
Montevarchi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figline Montevarchi
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 17
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.77 0.78
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Montevarchi vs Figline
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Figline vs Montevarchi
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Figline
0:1
Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Montevarchi vs Figline
1:2
Oct 15, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Figline vs Montevarchi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Figline Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosini S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Montevarchi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figline 37 / 100
Montevarchi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figline Montevarchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montevarchi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Figline has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Figline scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Montevarchi has conceded goals in 51% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Figline VS Montevarchi
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Figline

(Home)
19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0
Figline
11 May
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 0
Figline
04 May
Figline
4 : 1
Livorno
27 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
Figline
17 Apr
Figline
0 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

Montevarchi

(Away)
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1
Montevarchi
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1
Tau
06 Sept
Lucchese
2 : 1
Montevarchi
19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0
Figline
13 Aug
Montevarchi
1 : 0
Grassina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)