Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Figline vs Sangiovannese

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ciravegna B.
43' Event
Pardera M.
72' Event
Pertica G.

AI Match Summary

Sangiovannese in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Figline
35%
Draws
19%
Sangiovannese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Figline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Sangiovannese average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Figline's 0.77.
  • Win probability leans Figline's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Figline, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Figline Clean Sheet 68%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figline Sangiovannese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.77 1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Figline
0:0
Nov 6, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Figline vs Sangiovannese
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Figline vs Sangiovannese
1:0
Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs Figline
0:0
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Figline vs Sangiovannese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Figline Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciravegna B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sangiovannese Compare

Top Goalscorer Pardera M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pertica G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figline 68 / 100
Sangiovannese 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figline Sangiovannese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Figline Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sangiovannese let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Figline went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sangiovannese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Figline found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Figline VS Sangiovannese
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Figline

(Home)
19 Aug
Montevarchi
0 : 0
Figline
11 May
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 0
Figline
04 May
Figline
4 : 1
Livorno
27 Apr
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
Figline
17 Apr
Figline
0 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

Sangiovannese

(Away)
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3
Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0
Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Imperia Calcio 0
Vado 1
Saluzzo 3
Chisola 0
Lavagnese 3
Bra 1
Brusaporto 1
Sangiuliano City 2
Club Milano 2
NovaRomentin 0
Sant'Angelo 3
Varese FC 0
Oltrepo 0
Piacenza 2
Villa Valle 1
Real Calepina 0
Vigasio 0
Pro Palazzolo 1
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Montecchio Maggiore 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Campodarsego 1
Adriese 2
Mestre 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Lentigione 2
Ravenna 3
Fossombrone 1
Sambenedettese 1
Vigor Senigallia 2
Castelfidardo 4
Civitanovese Calcio 1
Livorno 3
Ghiviborgo 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
San Donato Tavarnelle 1
Figline 1
Sangiovannese 2
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Sporting Trestina 0
Atl. Lodigiani 0
Roma City 3
Aquila Calcio 1
Termoli 0
Ostiamare 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 2
Guidonia 1937 1
Cassino 0
Paganese 1
Scafatese 2
Nocerina 1
Ischia 2
Virtus Francavilla 0
Martina Calcio 1
Fidelis Andria 2
Casarano 3
Gelbison 2
Matera 1
Reggina 2
AS Acireale 1
Akragas 0
Enna 2
Siracusa 3
Paterno 0
1/16-finals
Vado 0
Saluzzo 1
Lavagnese 2
Sangiuliano City 1
Club Milano 1
Sant'Angelo 2
Piacenza 2
Villa Valle 1
Pro Palazzolo 1
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 4
Adriese 3
Lentigione 0
Ravenna 1
Vigor Senigallia 1
Castelfidardo 2
Livorno 3
Seravezza Pozzi 0
Sangiovannese 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Roma City 0
Aquila Calcio 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Guidonia 1937 2
Scafatese 6
Ischia 0
Martina Calcio 1
Casarano 0
Gelbison 1
Reggina 3
Enna 3
Siracusa 2
1/8-finals
Saluzzo 0
Lavagnese 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Piacenza 3
Cjarlins Muzane 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Ravenna 2
Castelfidardo 1
Livorno 2
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Aquila Calcio 0
Guidonia 1937 4
Scafatese 0
Martina Calcio 1
Reggina 1
Enna 2
Quarter-finals
Lavagnese 2
Piacenza 1
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Ravenna 3
Livorno 2
Guidonia 1937 3
Martina Calcio 1
Enna 0
Semi-finals
Lavagnese 1
Ravenna 3
Guidonia 1937 5
Martina Calcio 0
Final
Ravenna 3
Guidonia 1937 2