Sport Picks
Figueirense vs Ferroviaria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie C Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis 
Match Events
20'
20'
Soares F.
36'
36'
Alencar
41'
41'
Igor Bolt
AI Match Summary
The Serie C game between Figueirense and Ferroviaria finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Figueirense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Ferroviaria carry the better recent record into this one.
- Figueirense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Figueirense | Ferroviaria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Serie C
Figueirense vs Ferroviaria
2:2
May 26, 2024 Serie C
Figueirense vs Ferroviaria
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Figueirense Compare
Top Goalscorer Hyuri
1 Goals Assists Leader Emerson Galego
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Ferroviaria Compare
Top Goalscorer Soares F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Douglas Skilo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Figueirense 50 / 100
Ferroviaria 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Figueirense Ferroviaria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Figueirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Figueirense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Figueirense found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Ferroviaria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Figueirense VS Ferroviaria
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Figueirense
(Home) 27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1 Figueirense
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 Figueirense
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0 Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1 Maranhao
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0 Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1 Maranhao
08 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 2 Ferroviaria
13 Jul
Figueirense
0 : 0 Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 3
Ferroviaria
(Away) 03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1 Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2 Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3 Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1 Ferroviaria
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3 Ferroviaria
23 Aug
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
08 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 2 Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
