Sport Picks
Figueirense vs Fluminense-SC
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 2018 Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Figueirense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Figueirense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Figueirense come out ahead of Fluminense-SC on wins alone.
- Model gives Figueirense a 43% chance of winning this.
- Figueirense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Figueirense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Figueirense | Fluminense-SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 29, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Fluminense-SC
3:2
Sep 16, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Figueirense
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Figueirense 85 / 100
Fluminense-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Figueirense Fluminense-SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Figueirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fluminense-SC conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Figueirense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Figueirense's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Figueirense VS Fluminense-SC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Figueirense
(Home) 20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 Figueirense
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0 Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1 Maranhao
23 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
0 : 0 Figueirense
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0 Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1 Maranhao
08 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 2 Ferroviaria
13 Jul
Figueirense
0 : 0 Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 3
Fluminense-SC
(Away) 25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0 Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1 Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0 Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1 Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2 Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0 Fluminense-SC
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0 Fluminense-SC
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2 Fluminense-SC
28 Jun
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2 Fluminense-SC
14 Jun
Caravaggio
1 : 0 Fluminense-SC
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Joinville | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Fluminense-SC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 5 | CA Metropolitano | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 6 | Blumenau | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Tubarao | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13:4 | 20 |
| 3 | Marcilio Dias | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Almirante Barroso | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Inter de Lages | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:13 | 7 |
| 6 | Operario Mafra | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:41 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)
