Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Figueirense vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2018 Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Figueirense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Figueirense
20%
Draws
38%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Figueirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Figueirense come out ahead of Fluminense-SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Figueirense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Figueirense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Figueirense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figueirense Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 35 34
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Fluminense-SC
3:2
Sep 16, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Figueirense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figueirense 42 / 100
Fluminense-SC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figueirense Fluminense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fluminense-SC conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Figueirense scored in 69% of their last 35 outings.

Recent resilience: Figueirense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Figueirense VS Fluminense-SC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Figueirense

(Home)
13 Jul
Figueirense
0 : 0
Volta Redonda
06 Jul
Brusque
3 : 1
Figueirense
28 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 1
Guarani
20 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Figueirense
14 Jun
Floresta EC
1 : 2
Figueirense
Page 1 of 7

Fluminense-SC

(Away)
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
04 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Blumenau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz1090126:527
2Figueirense1062220:1220
3Joinville1044219:1516
4Fluminense-SC1023510:169
5CA Metropolitano1022611:168
6Blumenau100376:283
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1081120:625
2Tubarao1055013:420
3Marcilio Dias1053219:618
4Almirante Barroso1042413:1114
5Inter de Lages1021712:137
6Operario Mafra1000104:410
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2018 (Play Offs)