Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Figueirense vs Nacao

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense Logo

Figueirense

1 - 0
FT
Nacao Logo

Nacao

Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Figueirense
35%
Draws
20%
Nacao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Figueirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Figueirense have won more games recently than Nacao.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Figueirense taking it.
  • Figueirense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Figueirense, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Figueirense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 68%
Nacao Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figueirense Nacao
Matches Played 34 26
Wins 16 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.21 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Nacao
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Nacao
5:1
Feb 11, 2024 Catarinense
Nacao vs Figueirense
0:1
Sep 30, 2023 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Nacao
3:3
Oct 16, 2022 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Nacao
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figueirense 59 / 100
Nacao 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figueirense Nacao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Figueirense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Figueirense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Figueirense's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Nacao has conceded goals in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Figueirense VS Nacao
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Figueirense

(Home)
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
23 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
0 : 0
Figueirense
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2
Figueirense
Page 1 of 7

Nacao

(Away)
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
06 Sept
Nacao
2 : 2
Santa Catarina
25 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Nacao
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 4 3 0 1 14:8 9
2 Figueirense 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
3 Santa Catarina 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
4 Hercilio Luz 3 2 0 1 9:7 6
5 Joinville 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
6 CA Metropolitano 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
8 Blumenau 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
9 Nacao 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)