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Figueirense vs Paysandu PA

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Orlando Scarpelli
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Juninho
23'
Pedro Henrique
25' Event
Lucas Alves

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Figueirense and Paysandu PA finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Figueirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Figueirense
39%
Draws
31%
Paysandu PA
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Paysandu PA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 68%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figueirense Paysandu PA
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie C
Figueirense vs Paysandu PA
2:1
May 8, 2023 Serie C
Figueirense vs Paysandu PA
2:0
Sep 11, 2022 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Figueirense
1:0
Sep 3, 2022 Serie C
Figueirense vs Paysandu PA
2:1
Jul 25, 2022 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Figueirense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Figueirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Alves
1 Goals
Assists Leader Emerson Galego
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Paysandu PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figueirense 41 / 100
Paysandu PA 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figueirense Paysandu PA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Figueirense scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Paysandu PA has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Figueirense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Figueirense VS Paysandu PA
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1473415:1024
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Botafogo PB1471619:1522
7Maringa FC1464427:2422
8Ferroviaria1464415:1222
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Ituano1454516:1619
12Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
13Volta Redonda1453610:1518
14Amazonas1452713:1917
15Maranhao1445511:1417
16Figueirense1445512:1817
17Itabaiana1444612:1716
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Confianca143298:1411
20Anapolis142399:189