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Fiji U17 vs Papua New Guinea U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2023
Sun, Jan 15, 2023
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fiji U17 host Papua New Guinea U17 in the OFC Championship U17 2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Fiji U17 have averaged 1.76 scored and 2.36 conceded recently, against Papua New Guinea U17's 1.28 scored and 1.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Fiji U17 slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 15, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.19) point toward Fiji U17. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fiji U17
15%
Draws
85%
Papua New Guinea U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Papua New Guinea U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Papua New Guinea U17 haven't matched Fiji U17's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Papua New Guinea U17 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Fiji U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Papua New Guinea U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiji U17 Papua New Guinea U17
Matches Played 25 18
Wins 9 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.76 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2023 OFC Championship U16
Fiji U17 vs Papua New Guinea U17
0:0
Jan 15, 2015 OFC Championship U16
Papua New Guinea U17 vs Fiji U17
0:0
Apr 20, 2013 OFC Championship U16
Fiji U17 vs Papua New Guinea U17
2:0
Jan 10, 2011 OFC Championship U16
Papua New Guinea U17 vs Fiji U17
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji U17 10 / 100
Papua New Guinea U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiji U17 Papua New Guinea U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Papua New Guinea U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fiji U17 scored in 60% of their last 25 outings.

Papua New Guinea U17 let in goals in 78% of their last 18 matches.

Papua New Guinea U17's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Fiji U17 VS Papua New Guinea U17
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiji U17

(Home)
09 Nov
Fiji U17
0 : 7
Argentina U17
06 Nov
Fiji U17
0 : 7
Belgium U17
03 Nov
Tunisia U17
6 : 0
Fiji U17
28 Jan
Tahiti U17
3 : 0
Fiji U17
25 Jan
Fiji U17
1 : 4
New Zealand U17
Page 1 of 5

Papua New Guinea U17

(Away)
22 Feb
New Zealand U17
2 : 1
Papua New Guinea U17
18 Feb
Papua New Guinea U17
2 : 1
Tahiti U17
15 Feb
Papua New Guinea U17
3 : 3
Vanuatu U17
12 Feb
New Caledonia U17
3 : 2
Papua New Guinea U17
21 Jan
Papua New Guinea U17
1 : 2
New Caledonia U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiji U17 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Samoa U17 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
3 Tonga U17 2 0 0 2 0:9 0
4 Papua New Guinea U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U17 2 2 0 0 14:2 6
2 New Caledonia U17 2 1 0 1 9:3 3
3 American Samoa U17 2 0 0 2 0:18 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tahiti U17 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Vanuatu U17 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Cook Islands U17 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2023 (Play Offs)