Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiji U19 vs New Caledonia U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Begg N.

AI Match Summary

Fiji U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2022 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Fiji U19
15%
Draws
57%
New Caledonia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Caledonia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiji U19 haven't matched New Caledonia U19's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • New Caledonia U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fiji U19, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fiji U19 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fiji U19 Clean Sheet 10%
New Caledonia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiji U19 New Caledonia U19
Matches Played 24 25
Wins 12 14
Draws 3 1
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.96 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2022 OFC Championship U19
Fiji U19 vs New Caledonia U19
1:0
Aug 13, 2018 OFC Championship U19
Fiji U19 vs New Caledonia U19
1:1
May 25, 2014 OFC Championship U19
Fiji U19 vs New Caledonia U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiji U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Begg N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

New Caledonia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji U19 34 / 100
New Caledonia U19 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiji U19 New Caledonia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Caledonia U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Caledonia U19 let in goals in 80% of their last 25 matches.

Fiji U19 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (24 games).

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Difficult form: New Caledonia U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiji U19 VS New Caledonia U19
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiji U19

(Home)
11 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 0
Fiji U19
07 Sept
Tahiti U19
2 : 1
Fiji U19
05 Sept
New Zealand U19
2 : 0
Fiji U19
01 Sept
Fiji U19
7 : 2
Vanuatu U19
17 Jan
Fiji U19
0 : 2
Australia U17
Page 1 of 5

New Caledonia U19

(Away)
13 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0
New Caledonia U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1
New Caledonia U19
06 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 7
New Caledonia U19
03 Sept
New Caledonia U19
1 : 3
Solomon Islands U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
New Zealand U19 5
Papua New Guinea U19 0
Tahiti U19 1
Vanuatu U19 0
New Caledonia U19 1
Solomon Islands U19 0
Fiji U19 4
Samoa U19 1
Semi-finals
New Zealand U19 2
Tahiti U19 0
New Caledonia U19 0
Fiji U19 1
Final
New Zealand U19 3
Fiji U19 0
Tahiti U19 1
New Caledonia U19 2