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Fiji U23 vs Vanuatu U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U23 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vanuatu U23 in this OFC Championship U23 2019 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Fiji U23
15%
Draws
51%
Vanuatu U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vanuatu U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanuatu U23 average 5.07 goals a game right now, well clear of Fiji U23's 2.2.
  • Model gives Vanuatu U23 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Vanuatu U23, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Fiji U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Vanuatu U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiji U23 Vanuatu U23
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 8 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 2.2 5.07
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2019 OFC Championship U23
Fiji U23 vs Vanuatu U23
0:1
Sep 28, 2019 OFC Championship U23
Fiji U23 vs Vanuatu U23
0:1
Jul 12, 2015 Pacific Games
Fiji U23 vs Vanuatu U23
1:0
Jul 3, 2015 Pacific Games
Fiji U23 vs Vanuatu U23
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji U23 18 / 100
Vanuatu U23 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiji U23 Vanuatu U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiji U23 scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Vanuatu U23 conceded in 57% of 14 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Fiji U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fiji U23 VS Vanuatu U23
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiji U23

(Home)
09 Sept
New Zealand U23
9 : 0
Fiji U23
06 Sept
Solomon Islands U23
0 : 3
Fiji U23
02 Sept
Papua New Guinea U23
0 : 2
Fiji U23
30 Aug
New Zealand U23
3 : 1
Fiji U23
05 Oct
Fiji U23
0 : 1
Vanuatu U23
Page 1 of 6

Vanuatu U23

(Away)
06 Sept
New Zealand U23
8 : 0
Vanuatu U23
03 Sept
Vanuatu U23
3 : 1
Samoa U23
31 Aug
Tonga U23
0 : 4
Vanuatu U23
28 Aug
Solomon Islands U23
3 : 0
Vanuatu U23
05 Oct
Fiji U23
0 : 1
Vanuatu U23
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand U23 6
Fiji U23 1
Vanuatu U23 0
Solomon Islands U23 1
Final
New Zealand U23 5
Solomon Islands U23 0
Fiji U23 0
Vanuatu U23 1