Sport Picks

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Fiji vs New Caledonia

World World

Friendly International HFC Bank Stadium, Suva
Wed, Sep 30, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fiji host New Caledonia in the Friendly International. This one's hard to separate. Fiji have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.64 conceded recently, against New Caledonia's 2.27 scored and 1.27 conceded. Head-to-head, Fiji have won 2 to New Caledonia's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Dec 12, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.76 - 1.50) back New Caledonia to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fiji
30%
Draws
47%
New Caledonia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: New Caledonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • New Caledonia have won more games recently than Fiji.
  • Model gives Fiji a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fiji Clean Sheet 16%
New Caledonia Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiji New Caledonia
Matches Played 33 22
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 2
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.52 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2024 Friendly International
Fiji vs New Caledonia
0:0
Nov 17, 2024 World Championship
Fiji vs New Caledonia
1:1
Mar 18, 2022 World Championship
New Caledonia vs Fiji
1:2
Jul 12, 2019 Pacific Games
New Caledonia vs Fiji
1:0
Mar 18, 2019 Friendly International
Fiji vs New Caledonia
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji 41 / 100
New Caledonia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiji New Caledonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fiji scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Fiji went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

New Caledonia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiji VS New Caledonia
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiji

(Home)
21 Sept
Fiji
0 : 1
Vanuatu
18 Sept
Fiji
3 : 3
Solomon Islands
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
22 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1
Solomon Islands
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New Caledonia

(Away)
24 Sept
Papua New Guinea
1 : 2
New Caledonia
21 Sept
New Caledonia
0 : 2
Solomon Islands
27 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 1
Jamaica
08 Oct
Gibraltar
0 : 2
New Caledonia
24 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 3
New Zealand
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