Sport Picks

Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games

Northern Mariana Islands

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fiji play Northern Mariana Islands in the Pacific Games. Fiji are favorites here. Recently, Fiji averaged 2.44 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Northern Mariana Islands averaged 0.81 goals scored and 4.67 conceded. In past meetings, Fiji won 1, Northern Mariana Islands won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 18, 2023 ended 10:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.19 for Fiji and 0.69 for Northern Mariana Islands. This points to a Fiji double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Fiji

18%

Draws

12%

Northern Mariana Islands

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Fiji

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Fiji picked up more points recently compared to Northern Mariana Islands.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.19 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 74%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Fiji Clean Sheet 28%

Northern Mariana Islands Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fiji	Northern Mariana Islands
Matches Played	34	27
Wins	15	3
Draws	9	2
Losses	10	22
Goals Scored	2.44	0.81
Goals Conceded	1.44	4.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 Pacific Games

Fiji vs Northern Mariana Islands

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

10:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji 69 / 100

Northern Mariana Islands 13 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fiji Northern Mariana Islands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiji Win (1)

Secondary Pick Fiji & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.7%

1.61

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.47

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fiji attacking → ← attacking Northern Mariana Islands

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiji scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Northern Mariana Islands let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 10.00 goals.

Fiji went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Northern Mariana Islands lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 11

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	New Caledonia	2	2	0	15:0	6
2	Cook Islands	2	1	1	2:9	3
3	Tonga	2	0	2	1:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vanuatu	2	1	1	0	7:1	4
2	Papua New Guinea	2	1	1	0	4:1	4
3	Tuvalu	2	0	0	2	0:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fiji	2	1	1	0	10:0	4
2	Tahiti	2	1	1	0	5:0	4
3	Northern Mariana Islands	2	0	0	2	0:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Solomon Islands	2	2	0	12:0	6
2	Samoa	2	1	1	10:1	3
3	American Samoa	2	0	2	0:21	0