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Fiji vs Tahiti

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Nations Cup HFC Bank Stadium, Suva
Fiji Logo

Fiji

1 - 0
FT
Tahiti Logo

Tahiti

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Krishna R.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Fiji
20%
Draws
51%
Tahiti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tahiti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Fiji haven't matched Tahiti's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fiji a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Tahiti arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fiji, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Fiji Clean Sheet 12%
Tahiti Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiji Tahiti
Matches Played 33 27
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.58 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2024 OFC Nations Cup
Tahiti vs Fiji
2:1
Jun 22, 2024 OFC Nations Cup
Fiji vs Tahiti
1:0
Nov 21, 2023 Pacific Games
Fiji vs Tahiti
0:0
Jul 8, 2019 Pacific Games
Tahiti vs Fiji
1:2
Jun 6, 2019 Friendly International
Fiji vs Tahiti
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji 35 / 100
Tahiti 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiji Tahiti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiji found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Tahiti has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Fiji went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiji VS Tahiti
1 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiji

(Home)
27 Sept
Fiji
2 : 0
Papua New Guinea
21 Sept
Fiji
0 : 1
Vanuatu
18 Sept
Fiji
3 : 3
Solomon Islands
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
Page 1 of 7

Tahiti

(Away)
27 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tahiti
21 Mar
New Caledonia
3 : 0
Tahiti
18 Nov
Tahiti
2 : 0
Vanuatu
15 Nov
Samoa
0 : 3
Tahiti
11 Oct
New Zealand
3 : 0
Tahiti
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Vanuatu 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
3 Solomon Islands 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
4 New Caledonia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiji 3 3 0 0 15:2 9
2 Tahiti 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Papua New Guinea 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
4 Samoa 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup (Play Offs)