Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiji vs Vanuatu

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Nations Cup VFF Freshwater Stadium, Port Vila
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Spokeyjack J.
30'
Sub
Kalo B. In: Tangis K.
Out: Kalo B.
46' Event
Cavuilagi S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Fiji
30%
Draws
61%
Vanuatu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vanuatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Fiji carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Vanuatu taking it.
  • Fiji have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vanuatu, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Fiji Clean Sheet 10%
Vanuatu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiji Vanuatu
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Fiji
2:2
Jun 6, 2026 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Fiji
2:1
Nov 17, 2025 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Fiji
2:0
Dec 12, 2024 Friendly International
Fiji vs Vanuatu
1:1
Jun 27, 2024 OFC Nations Cup
Fiji vs Vanuatu
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiji Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavuilagi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vanuatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Spokeyjack J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji 10 / 100
Vanuatu 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiji Vanuatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanuatu let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Fiji's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Fiji went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiji VS Vanuatu
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiji

(Home)
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
22 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1
Solomon Islands
20 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 0
Fiji
17 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 0
Fiji
Page 1 of 7

Vanuatu

(Away)
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 3
Vanuatu
20 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Solomon Islands
17 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 0
Fiji
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand 5
Tahiti 0
Fiji 1
Vanuatu 2
Final
New Zealand 3
Vanuatu 0
Tahiti 2
Fiji 1