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Fiji W vs Cook Islands W Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Nations Cup Women 2022 ANZ National Stadium, Suva
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Diyalowai S.
74' Event
Tamanitoakula L.

AI Match Summary

Fiji W in this OFC Nations Cup Women 2022 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Fiji W
15%
Draws
64%
Cook Islands W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cook Islands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cook Islands W haven't matched Fiji W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fiji W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Fiji W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fiji W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fiji W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fiji W Clean Sheet 20%
Cook Islands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiji W Cook Islands W
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 2.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2022 OFC Nations Cup Women
Fiji W vs Cook Islands W
2:0
Jul 8, 2022 Friendly International Women
Fiji W vs Cook Islands W
4:1
Jul 19, 2019 Pacific Games Women
Fiji W vs Cook Islands W
3:1
Nov 19, 2018 OFC Nations Cup Women
Cook Islands W vs Fiji W
0:3
Jul 8, 2015 Pacific Games Women
Fiji W vs Cook Islands W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiji W Compare

Top Goalscorer Diyalowai S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tamanitoakula L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cook Islands W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji W 42 / 100
Cook Islands W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiji W Cook Islands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Fiji W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Cook Islands W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Fiji W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiji W VS Cook Islands W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiji W

(Home)
29 Sept
Fiji W
1 : 0
New Caledonia W
23 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1
Solomon Islands W
20 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1
Vanuatu W
17 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
06 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 1
Fiji W
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Cook Islands W

(Away)
07 Jun
Cook Islands W
3 : 0
Afghanistan W
03 Jun
Cook Islands W
1 : 0
Afghanistan W
01 Dec
American Samoa W
4 : 0
Cook Islands W
29 Nov
Tahiti W
0 : 1
Cook Islands W
14 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 1
Tonga W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Samoa W 4
New Caledonia W 2
Papua New Guinea W 4
Tonga W 3
Fiji W 2
Cook Islands W 0
Tahiti W 0
Solomon Islands W 1
Semi-finals
Samoa W 0
Papua New Guinea W 3
Fiji W 3
Solomon Islands W 1
Final
Papua New Guinea W 2
Fiji W 1
Samoa W 1
Solomon Islands W 2