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Fiji W vs Tonga W

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Nations Cup Women
Fiji W Logo

Fiji W

3 - 0
FT
Tonga W Logo

Tonga W

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Nasau C.
80' Event
Naweni S.
Assist: Bakaniceva A.
90' Event
Lauteau A.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fiji W
15%
Draws
85%
Tonga W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tonga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Fiji W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Fiji W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fiji W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fiji W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Fiji W Clean Sheet 15%
Tonga W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiji W Tonga W
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 22 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 2.36 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.54 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women
Fiji W vs Tonga W
3:0
Jul 5, 2022 Friendly International Women
Fiji W vs Tonga W
5:0
Jul 17, 2019 Pacific Games Women
Tonga W vs Fiji W
1:3
Nov 22, 2018 OFC Nations Cup Women
Tonga W vs Fiji W
0:12
Oct 2, 2010 OFC Nations Cup Women
Tonga W vs Fiji W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiji W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasau C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Naweni S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Tonga W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji W 30 / 100
Tonga W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiji W Tonga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiji W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tonga W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Fiji W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (39 games).

Tonga W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiji W VS Tonga W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiji W

(Home)
23 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1
Solomon Islands W
20 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1
Vanuatu W
17 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
06 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 1
Fiji W
03 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 2
Fiji W
Page 1 of 8

Tonga W

(Away)
02 Dec
Tonga W
4 : 1
Tahiti W
28 Nov
Tonga W
0 : 3
American Samoa W
14 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 1
Tonga W
11 Jul
Solomon Islands W
5 : 0
Tonga W
08 Jul
Fiji W
3 : 0
Tonga W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Papua New Guinea W 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 Samoa W 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Tahiti W 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Cook Islands W 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands W 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
2 Fiji W 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Vanuatu W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
4 Tonga W 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)