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Finland U16 W vs Spain U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Finland U16 W play Spain U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Finland U16 W averaged 2.73 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Spain U16 W averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Finland U16 W won 1, Spain U16 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 28, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Finland U16 W and 1.88 for Spain U16 W. This points to a Finland U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Finland U16 W
15%
Draws
37%
Spain U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Finland U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Spain U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Finland U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U16 W Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U16 W Spain U16 W
Matches Played 22 12
Wins 14 7
Draws 0 1
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2.73 2.08
Goals Conceded 1.36 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2023 Friendly International Women
Finland U16 W vs Spain U16 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Makela A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reis O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Spain U16 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U16 W 45 / 100
Spain U16 W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U16 W Spain U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Finland U16 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Finland U16 W attacking → ← attacking Spain U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U16 W scored in 91% of their last 22 games.

Spain U16 W let in goals in 67% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Finland U16 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Spain U16 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 22
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63