Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finland U16 W vs Sweden U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Finland U16 W play Sweden U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2023. Finland U16 W are favorites here. Recently, Finland U16 W averaged 2.73 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Sweden U16 W averaged 1.69 goals scored and 2.16 conceded. In past meetings, Finland U16 W won 2, Sweden U16 W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 19, 2024 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Finland U16 W and 2.00 for Sweden U16 W. This points to a Finland U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Finland U16 W
15%
Draws
27%
Sweden U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Finland U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Sweden U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Finland U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
Sweden U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U16 W Sweden U16 W
Matches Played 22 32
Wins 14 9
Draws 0 2
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 2.73 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Friendly International Women
Finland U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
1:3
Oct 16, 2024 Friendly International Women
Finland U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
4:3
Oct 27, 2023 Friendly International Women
Finland U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
4:0
Oct 24, 2023 Friendly International Women
Finland U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
0:2
Jul 1, 2022 Friendly International Women
Finland U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U16 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Sweden U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Forss A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Persson Welin T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U16 W 54 / 100
Sweden U16 W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U16 W Sweden U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U16 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Finland U16 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Finland U16 W attacking → ← attacking Sweden U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U16 W scored in 91% of their last 22 games.

Sweden U16 W let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Finland U16 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sweden U16 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 29
1.71 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25