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Finland U17 W vs England U17 W

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Euro U17 Women 2025 Veritas Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Finland U17 W play England U17 W in the Euro U17 Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Finland U17 W averaged 2.27 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. England U17 W averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Finland U17 W won 2, England U17 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 20, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Finland U17 W and 1.44 for England U17 W. This points to a England U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Finland U17 W
15%
Draws
44%
England U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Finland U17 W picked up more points recently compared to England U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Finland U17 W Clean Sheet 16%
England U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U17 W England U17 W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 3 2
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.27 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Finland U17 W vs England U17 W
3:1
May 21, 2018 Euro U17 Women
England U17 W vs Finland U17 W
1:2
Oct 16, 2011 Euro U17 Women
Finland U17 W vs England U17 W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Xiang Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orava M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

England U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierre J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U17 W 40 / 100
England U17 W 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U17 W England U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: England U17 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Finland U17 W attacking → ← attacking England U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U17 W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

England U17 W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Finland U17 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

England U17 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 59
3.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U17 W33007:29
2Belgium U17 W32016:66
3Ukraine U17 W31023:53
4Iceland U17 W30033:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France U17 W33008:19
2Scotland U17 W31115:44
3Slovakia U17 W31113:44
4Wales U17 W30030:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Italy U17 W32106:07
2Czech Republic U17 W32018:16
3Croatia U17 W31118:14
4Georgia U17 W30030:200
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Poland U17 W33009:19
2Switzerland U17 W32013:26
3Hungary U17 W31026:63
4Turkey U17 W30032:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands U17 W330013:49
2Finland U17 W31115:74
3England U17 W31025:93
4Sweden U17 W30127:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway U17 W33007:19
2Portugal U17 W32017:16
3Serbia U17 W31022:93
4Greece U17 W30031:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria U17 W32108:07
2Denmark U17 W32018:46
3Germany U17 W311110:14
4Kosovo U17 W30030:210