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Finland U17 W vs Italy U17 W

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2026 Gradski stadion Sajmište
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Finland U17 W play Italy U17 W in the Euro U17 Women 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Finland U17 W averaged 3.25 goals scored and 1 conceded. Italy U17 W averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Finland U17 W won 2, Italy U17 W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 29, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Finland U17 W and 1.56 for Italy U17 W. This points to a Italy U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Finland U17 W
33%
Draws
27%
Italy U17 W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Finland U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Italy U17 W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Finland U17 W.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Finland U17 W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Euro U17 Women 2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Finland U17 W Clean Sheet 15%
Italy U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U17 W Italy U17 W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 16 21
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 3.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Finland U17 W vs Italy U17 W
3:1
Feb 19, 2025 Friendly International Women
Italy U17 W vs Finland U17 W
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Friendly International Women
Finland U17 W vs Italy U17 W
1:3
Dec 1, 2023 Friendly International Women
Finland U17 W vs Italy U17 W
0:5
Oct 28, 2018 Euro U17 Women
Finland U17 W vs Italy U17 W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Seppanen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lamberg A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Italy U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferranti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U17 W 39 / 100
Italy U17 W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U17 W Italy U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U17 W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Italy U17 W let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Finland U17 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Italy U17 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finland U17 W VS Italy U17 W
3.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U17 W330010:19
2Portugal U17 W32015:26
3Hungary U17 W31026:33
4Bulgaria U17 W30031:160
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France U17 W33006:19
2Germany U17 W32014:26
3Ireland U17 W31024:43
4Belgium U17 W30032:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands U17 W321010:07
2Czech Republic U17 W32105:07
3Slovakia U17 W31023:83
4Andorra U17 W30030:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U17 W330011:39
2Poland U17 W320116:36
3Scotland U17 W30121:81
4Montenegro U17 W30120:141
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Finland U17 W330015:29
2Italy U17 W32015:46
3Croatia U17 W31023:53
4North Macedonia U17 W30030:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland U17 W32104:27
2Austria U17 W31205:15
3Romania U17 W30212:32
4Ukraine U17 W30121:61
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Denmark U17 W330011:09
2Norway U17 W31117:54
3Serbia U17 W30214:72
4Belarus U17 W30122:121