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Finland U23 W vs Denmark U23 W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Olesen K.
(Penalty)
29'
Knudsen Linnebjerg K.
34' Event
Sarjanoja I.

AI Match Summary

Denmark U23 W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denmark U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Finland U23 W
30%
Draws
29%
Denmark U23 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Finland U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Finland U23 W have won more games recently than Denmark U23 W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Finland U23 W Clean Sheet 17%
Denmark U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U23 W Denmark U23 W
Matches Played 20 21
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.4 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2025 Friendly International Women
Finland U23 W vs Denmark U23 W
1:3
Feb 21, 2023 Friendly International Women
Finland U23 W vs Denmark U23 W
1:1
Feb 18, 2023 Friendly International Women
Finland U23 W vs Denmark U23 W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarjanoja I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Denmark U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fink E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vestermark T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U23 W 30 / 100
Denmark U23 W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U23 W Denmark U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U23 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Finland U23 W scored in 90% of their last 20 outings.

Denmark U23 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 21 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Finland U23 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finland U23 W VS Denmark U23 W
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland U23 W

(Home)
09 Jun
South Korea U20 W
1 : 2
Finland U23 W
06 Jun
Portugal U20 W
1 : 0
Finland U23 W
03 Jun
Finland U23 W
4 : 1
Brazil U20 W
28 Oct
Finland U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
22 Oct
Finland U23 W
1 : 3
Denmark U23 W
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Denmark U23 W

(Away)
08 Jun
Germany U23 W
2 : 2
Denmark U23 W
04 Jun
Germany U23 W
2 : 0
Denmark U23 W
16 Apr
Denmark U23 W
1 : 0
Scotland U23 W
13 Apr
Denmark U23 W
1 : 2
USA U23 W
25 Oct
Denmark U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
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