Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finland U23 W vs Iceland U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Karjalainen R.
26'
Karresmaa K.
27'
Sub
Forsblom W. In: Dannback E.
Out: Forsblom W.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between Finland U23 W and Iceland U23 W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iceland U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Finland U23 W
28%
Draws
22%
Iceland U23 W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Finland U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Finland U23 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Finland U23 W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Finland U23 W Clean Sheet 20%
Iceland U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U23 W Iceland U23 W
Matches Played 20 9
Wins 9 3
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 4.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 4.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 Friendly International Women
Finland U23 W vs Iceland U23 W
1:2
Oct 24, 2024 Friendly International Women
Finland U23 W vs Iceland U23 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaaskelainen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 2.06

Iceland U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sveinsdottir B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tryggvadottir I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U23 W 49 / 100
Iceland U23 W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U23 W Iceland U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U23 W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Iceland U23 W has conceded goals in 78% of their last 9 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Finland U23 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Finland U23 W VS Iceland U23 W
4.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%