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Finland U23 W vs Liechtenstein W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Finland U23 W play Liechtenstein W in the Friendly International Women 2023. Finland U23 W are favorites here. Recently, Finland U23 W averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Liechtenstein W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 3.9 conceded. In past meetings, Finland U23 W won 2, Liechtenstein W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 26, 2023 ended 10:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.96 for Finland U23 W and 1.16 for Liechtenstein W. This points to a Finland U23 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Finland U23 W
15%
Draws
15%
Liechtenstein W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Finland U23 W picked up more points recently compared to Liechtenstein W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.96 vs 1.16 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Finland U23 W Clean Sheet 21%
Liechtenstein W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U23 W Liechtenstein W
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 2.4 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.15 3.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2023 Friendly International Women
Finland U23 W vs Liechtenstein W
10:0
Sep 23, 2023 Friendly International Women
Finland U23 W vs Liechtenstein W
10:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarjanoja I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leskinen D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Liechtenstein W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U23 W 67 / 100
Liechtenstein W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U23 W Liechtenstein W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U23 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Finland U23 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.7%
1.61
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Finland U23 W attacking → ← attacking Liechtenstein W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U23 W scored in 90% of their last 20 games.

Liechtenstein W let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 10.00 goals.

Finland U23 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Liechtenstein W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 15
1.43 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.43 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.50