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Finland vs Albania Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Helsinki Olympic Stadium, Helsinki
Finland Logo

Finland

2 - 1
FT
Albania Logo

Albania

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Manaj R.
Assist: Asllani K.
22'
Berisha E.
25'
Sub
Hoxha A. In: Sherri A.
Out: Hoxha A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League game between Finland and Albania finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Finland
15%
Draws
39%
Albania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Albania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Finland have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Finland Clean Sheet 68%
Albania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland Albania
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Finland vs Albania
2:1
Jan 7, 2002 Friendly International
Albania vs Finland
1:1
Sep 1, 2001 World Championship
Albania vs Finland
0:2
Sep 2, 2000 World Championship
Finland vs Albania
2:1
Sep 1, 1981 World Championship
Finland vs Albania
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland Compare

Top Goalscorer Walta L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Albania Compare

Top Goalscorer Manaj R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland 41 / 100
Albania 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland Albania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Albania let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Finland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finland VS Albania
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland

(Home)
03 Oct
Finland
2 : 1
Albania
29 Sept
Finland
0 : 0
Belarus
26 Sept
San Marino
0 : 7
Finland
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
31 May
Germany
4 : 0
Finland
Page 1 of 6

Albania

(Away)
03 Oct
Finland
2 : 1
Albania
29 Sept
San Marino
0 : 3
Albania
26 Sept
Albania
2 : 0
Belarus
06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Luxembourg
03 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Israel
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Finland 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Albania 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Belarus 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 San Marino 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Cyprus 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Armenia 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Latvia 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Moldova 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Faroe Islands 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 Kazakhstan 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Estonia 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Luxembourg 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Bulgaria 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)