Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finland vs Belarus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Helsinki Olympic Stadium, Helsinki
Finland Logo

Finland

0 - 0
FT
Belarus Logo

Belarus

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kamara G. In: Hakans D.
Out: Kamara G.
59'
Sub
Pohjanpalo J. In: Kallman B.
Out: Pohjanpalo J.
61'
Shumansky A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League game between Finland and Belarus finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Finland
30%
Draws
47%
Belarus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Belarus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Finland carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Finland Clean Sheet 68%
Belarus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland Belarus
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.36 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Belarus vs Finland
1:0
Sep 29, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Finland vs Belarus
0:0
Jun 9, 2018 Friendly International
Finland vs Belarus
2:0
Jun 11, 2013 World Championship
Belarus vs Finland
1:1
Jun 7, 2013 World Championship
Finland vs Belarus
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland 41 / 100
Belarus 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland Belarus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Finland scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Belarus has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Finland went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finland VS Belarus
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland

(Home)
29 Sept
Finland
0 : 0
Belarus
26 Sept
San Marino
0 : 7
Finland
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
31 May
Germany
4 : 0
Finland
30 Mar
Cape Verde
2 : 1
Finland
Page 1 of 6

Belarus

(Away)
29 Sept
Finland
0 : 0
Belarus
26 Sept
Albania
2 : 0
Belarus
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1
Syria
29 Mar
Armenia
1 : 2
Belarus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)