Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Helsinki Olympic Stadium, Helsinki

Finland

2 - 1

Poland

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Pohjanpalo J.

(Penalty)

34'

Bednarek J.

35'

Kairinen K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Finland in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Finland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Finland

15%

Draws

46%

Poland

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Poland lately — more wins on the board than Finland.
Finland are the model's pick here, at 42%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Finland Clean Sheet 15%

Poland Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Finland	Poland
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	14
Draws	2	7
Losses	19	9
Goals Scored	1.1	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.8	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 World Championship

Poland vs Finland

3:1

Jun 10, 2025 World Championship

Finland vs Poland

2:1

Oct 7, 2020 Friendly International

Poland vs Finland

5:1

Mar 27, 2020 Friendly International

Poland vs Finland

0:0

Mar 26, 2016 Friendly International

Poland vs Finland

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland Compare

Top Goalscorer Kallman B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Poland Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiwior J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland 41 / 100

Poland 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Finland Poland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Finland scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Poland let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Finland has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Finland VS Poland

1.38 Goals Scored 1.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland

(Home)

05 Jun

Hungary

2 : 1

Finland

31 May

Germany

4 : 0

Finland

30 Mar

Cape Verde

2 : 1

Finland

27 Mar

New Zealand

0 : 2

Finland

17 Nov

Finland

4 : 0

Andorra

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Poland

(Away)

03 Jun

Poland

2 : 2

Nigeria

31 May

Poland

0 : 2

Ukraine

31 Mar

Sweden

3 : 2

Poland

26 Mar

Poland

2 : 1

Albania

17 Nov

Malta

2 : 3

Poland

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