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Finland W vs Belarus W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara
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Match Events

13'
Kozyupa A.
41'
Koivisto E.
54' Event
Summanen E.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Finland W and Belarus W finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Finland W
15%
Draws
32%
Belarus W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Finland W haven't matched Belarus W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Finland W a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Finland W Clean Sheet 68%
Belarus W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland W Belarus W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 18
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Belarus W vs Finland W
0:3
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Finland W vs Belarus W
0:0
Jun 20, 2012 Euro Women
Finland W vs Belarus W
4:0
Oct 27, 2011 Euro Women
Belarus W vs Finland W
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland W 68 / 100
Belarus W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland W Belarus W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Finland W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Finland W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Belarus W has conceded goals in 32% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Finland W VS Belarus W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1
Latvia W
Page 1 of 6

Belarus W

(Away)
09 Jun
Belarus W
6 : 0
Armenia W
18 Apr
Belarus W
0 : 1
Kazakhstan W
14 Apr
Armenia W
0 : 3
Belarus W
07 Mar
Kazakhstan W
0 : 1
Belarus W
29 Nov
Greece W
2 : 0
Belarus W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland W 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Northern Ireland W 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Romania W 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia W 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Ireland W 6 5 0 1 10:6 15
3 Turkey W 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
4 Greece W 6 0 0 6 2:12 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia W 6 4 2 0 7:1 14
2 Finland W 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
3 Hungary W 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
4 Belarus W 6 0 3 3 0:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine W 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Czech Republic W 6 4 1 1 17:4 13
3 Albania W 6 2 0 4 10:12 6
4 Croatia W 6 1 0 5 4:17 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)