Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finland W vs Denmark W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Snerle E.
39' Event
Svava S.
Assist: Thomsen J.
44'
Sub
Summanen E. In: Ahtinen O.
Out: Summanen E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 1-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Finland W
20%
Draws
34%
Denmark W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Finland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Denmark W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Finland W taking it.
  • Denmark W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Denmark W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Denmark W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Finland W Clean Sheet 68%
Denmark W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland W Denmark W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Denmark W vs Finland W
2:0
Oct 24, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Finland W vs Denmark W
1:6
Jul 12, 2022 Euro Women
Denmark W vs Finland W
1:0
Jan 21, 2019 Friendly International Women
Denmark W vs Finland W
1:0
Apr 11, 2017 Friendly International Women
Denmark W vs Finland W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindstrom L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Denmark W Compare

Top Goalscorer Harder P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Holmgaard S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland W 50 / 100
Denmark W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland W Denmark W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Finland W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Finland W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Denmark W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Finland W VS Denmark W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1
Latvia W
Page 1 of 6

Denmark W

(Away)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Northern Ireland W 0
Iceland W 5
Finland W 1
Denmark W 8
Ireland W 5
Belgium W 4
Czech Republic W 1
Austria W 2