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Finland W vs Slovakia W Prediction & H2H Stats

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World Cup Women Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Finland W Logo

Finland W

4 - 2
FT
Slovakia W Logo

Slovakia W

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kosola K.
Assist: Tynnila J.
14'
Bartovicova D.
22' Event
Engman A.
Assist: Lindstrom L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Finland W
15%
Draws
14%
Slovakia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Slovakia W average 1.97 goals a game right now, well clear of Finland W's 1.47.
  • Finland W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Finland W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Finland W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Finland W Clean Sheet 68%
Slovakia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland W Slovakia W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 2
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 World Cup Women
Slovakia W vs Finland W
0:4
Apr 14, 2026 World Cup Women
Finland W vs Slovakia W
4:2
Dec 5, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Slovakia W vs Finland W
2:2
Sep 22, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Finland W vs Slovakia W
4:0
Apr 10, 2023 Friendly International Women
Slovakia W vs Finland W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosola K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Engman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Slovakia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabova K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland W 95 / 100
Slovakia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland W Slovakia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Finland W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Finland W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Slovakia W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Finland W VS Slovakia W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1
Latvia W
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Slovakia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Latvia W
1 : 2
Slovakia W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2
Portugal W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Portugal W
4 : 0
Slovakia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wales W 6 4 2 0 17:5 14
2 Czech Republic W 6 3 2 1 18:8 11
3 Albania W 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
4 Montenegro W 6 0 1 5 6:23 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland W 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
2 Turkey W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
3 Northern Ireland W 6 2 0 4 10:9 6
4 Malta W 6 0 0 6 4:24 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal W 6 5 0 1 17:4 15
2 Finland W 6 5 0 1 15:6 15
3 Slovakia W 6 2 0 4 8:17 6
4 Latvia W 6 0 0 6 4:17 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland W 6 4 2 0 24:2 14
2 Belgium W 6 4 2 0 22:1 14
3 Israel W 6 2 0 4 10:20 6
4 Luxembourg W 6 0 0 6 1:34 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)