Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finn Harps vs Bray

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Finn Park, Ballybofey
Finn Harps Logo

Finn Harps

Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Bray Logo

Bray

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Finn Harps host Bray in the Division 1. Bray are expected to control this from the start. Finn Harps have averaged 0.79 scored and 2.07 conceded recently, against Bray's 2.03 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Bray slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.44 - 2.25) back Bray to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Finn Harps
15%
Draws
65%
Bray
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bray come out ahead of Finn Harps on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bray a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%
Bray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finn Harps Bray
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.79 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Finn Harps
5:0
Jul 17, 2026 FAI Cup
Finn Harps vs Bray
0:1
May 4, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Bray
2:1
Apr 6, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Finn Harps
2:2
Sep 19, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Finn Harps
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finn Harps 22 / 100
Bray 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finn Harps Bray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bray Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Bray let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Finn Harps found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Finn Harps went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finn Harps VS Bray
1 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Finn Harps

(Home)
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 6

Bray

(Away)
25 Sept
UC Dublin
1 : 3
Bray
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 32 22 5 5 69:30 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
5 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
6 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
7 Longford 32 12 8 12 42:41 44
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)