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Finn Harps vs Mervue United

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 2013 Finn Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Finn Harps play Mervue United in the Division 1 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Finn Harps averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. Mervue United averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Finn Harps won 1, Mervue United won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 20, 2013 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Finn Harps and 1.19 for Mervue United. This points to a Mervue United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Finn Harps
29%
Draws
44%
Mervue United
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Mervue United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Finn Harps picked up more points recently compared to Mervue United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 20%
Mervue United Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finn Harps Mervue United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2013 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Mervue United
0:2
Jul 19, 2013 Division 1
Mervue United vs Finn Harps
4:0
May 17, 2013 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Mervue United
1:0
Mar 29, 2013 Division 1
Mervue United vs Finn Harps
2:2
Aug 31, 2012 Division 1
Mervue United vs Finn Harps
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mervue United Compare

Top Goalscorer Molloy J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manning R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finn Harps 28 / 100
Mervue United 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finn Harps Mervue United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mervue United or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Finn Harps attacking → ← attacking Mervue United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finn Harps scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Mervue United let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Finn Harps went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mervue United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 45
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Athlone28167542:2255
2Longford28155855:3450
3Mervue United28147746:3149
4Waterford28145940:2447
5Wexford281031529:4733
6Finn Harps28871331:4231
7Cobh Ramblers28871342:5431
8Salthill28451923:5417