Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finn Harps vs Wexford Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Finn Park, Ballybofey
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Hand D.
28'
Cullen J.
38'
Tourish C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Finn Harps and Wexford finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finn Harps.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Finn Harps
15%
Draws
57%
Wexford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wexford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Wexford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Finn Harps a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%
Wexford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finn Harps Wexford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.79 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Finn Harps
1:3
Jul 3, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Wexford
1:0
May 1, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Finn Harps
2:0
Mar 6, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Wexford
1:1
Sep 22, 2025 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Wexford
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finn Harps Compare

Top Goalscorer Benny
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Wexford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finn Harps 40 / 100
Wexford 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finn Harps Wexford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wexford let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Wexford's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Finn Harps's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Finn Harps VS Wexford
1 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Finn Harps

(Home)
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 6

Wexford

(Away)
25 Sept
Kerry
1 : 0
Wexford
18 Sept
Wexford
3 : 1
Cobh Ramblers
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 33 22 5 6 70:32 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Longford 33 13 8 12 44:42 47
5 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
6 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
7 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)