Sport Picks

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Finn Harps vs Wexford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Finn Park
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Hand D.
28'
Cullen J.
38'
Tourish C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Finn Harps and Wexford finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finn Harps.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Finn Harps
44%
Draws
20%
Wexford
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Wexford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 16%
Wexford Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finn Harps Wexford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Wexford
1:0
May 1, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Finn Harps
2:0
Mar 6, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Wexford
1:1
Sep 22, 2025 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Wexford
1:3
Aug 1, 2025 Division 1
Wexford vs Finn Harps
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finn Harps Compare

Top Goalscorer Benny
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Wexford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finn Harps 36 / 100
Wexford 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finn Harps Wexford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finn Harps scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Wexford conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Finn Harps stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finn Harps VS Wexford
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City23173346:1554
2Bray23107646:3037
3UC Dublin23113936:2736
4Longford2387827:3031
5Cobh Ramblers23941025:3231
6Wexford2377927:3228
7Athlone23761021:2727
8Kerry2368924:2926
9Treaty United23581022:3423
10Finn Harps23571120:3822