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Finnsnes vs Alta

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bendiksen M.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Holsbo K.
50' Event
Akesson G.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 game between Finnsnes and Alta finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Finnsnes
15%
Draws
69%
Alta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Finnsnes haven't matched Alta's recent run of results.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Alta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Alta have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 10%
Alta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finnsnes Alta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.69 2.45
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Finnsnes vs Alta
1:2
Jun 28, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Alta vs Finnsnes
3:0
Sep 16, 2017 Division 2 - Group 1
Finnsnes vs Alta
0:3
Jun 4, 2017 Division 2 - Group 1
Alta vs Finnsnes
1:0
Oct 9, 2016 Division 2 - Group 1
Alta vs Finnsnes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finnsnes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Alta Compare

Top Goalscorer Holsbo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akesson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finnsnes 10 / 100
Alta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finnsnes Alta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finnsnes's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Alta has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Finnsnes has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Finnsnes VS Alta
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Finnsnes

(Home)
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
5 : 1
Finnsnes
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
16 Aug
Fauske Sprint
1 : 3
Finnsnes
08 Aug
Finnsnes
2 : 3
Bossekop
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Alta

(Away)
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Alta
0 : 0
Skedsmo
30 Aug
Fauske Sprint
1 : 5
Alta
22 Aug
Bossekop
1 : 2
Alta
16 Aug
Alta
6 : 0
Kongsvinger 2
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