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Finnsnes vs Skjervoy

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Finnsnes host Skjervoy in the Division 3 - Group 5. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Finnsnes have averaged 1.71 scored and 2.21 conceded recently, against Skjervoy's 1.71 scored and 2.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Finnsnes slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (2.38 - 2.00) back Finnsnes to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Finnsnes
15%
Draws
49%
Skjervoy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skjervoy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Finnsnes haven't matched Skjervoy's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 10%
Skjervoy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finnsnes Skjervoy
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.71 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Skjervoy vs Finnsnes
0:3
May 23, 2023 NM Cup
Finnsnes vs Skjervoy
1:3
Oct 30, 2021 Division 3 - Group 6
Finnsnes vs Skjervoy
3:0
Oct 31, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Finnsnes vs Skjervoy
0:0
Aug 14, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Skjervoy vs Finnsnes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finnsnes 34 / 100
Skjervoy 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finnsnes Skjervoy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skjervoy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Finnsnes scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Skjervoy conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Skjervoy registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finnsnes VS Skjervoy
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Finnsnes

(Home)
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
5 : 1
Finnsnes
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
16 Aug
Fauske Sprint
1 : 3
Finnsnes
08 Aug
Finnsnes
2 : 3
Bossekop
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Skjervoy

(Away)
19 Sept
Skjervoy
1 : 2
Skedsmo
13 Sept
Bossekop
1 : 1
Skjervoy
06 Sept
Skjervoy
3 : 1
Kongsvinger 2
15 Aug
Skjervoy
1 : 3
Floya
08 Aug
Harstad
7 : 0
Skjervoy
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