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Finnsnes vs Tromso 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Finnsnes play Tromso 2 in the Division 3 - Group 5. It looks like a close match. Recently, Finnsnes averaged 1.59 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. Tromso 2 averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Finnsnes won 1, Tromso 2 won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Finnsnes and 1.13 for Tromso 2. This points to a Tromso 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Finnsnes
29%
Draws
40%
Tromso 2
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Tromso 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Finnsnes picked up more points recently compared to Tromso 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 21%
Tromso 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finnsnes Tromso 2
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 9 13
Draws 2 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.59 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Finnsnes vs Tromso 2
3:1
Sep 29, 2021 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Finnsnes
3:1
Sep 19, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Finnsnes
0:0
Aug 3, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Finnsnes
0:0
Oct 13, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Finnsnes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finnsnes Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandvik M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hranat R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Tromso 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Olai Nilsen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finnsnes 32 / 100
Tromso 2 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finnsnes Tromso 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tromso 2 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Finnsnes attacking → ← attacking Tromso 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finnsnes scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Tromso 2 let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Finnsnes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tromso 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 47
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00