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Fiorentina U20 vs AC Milan U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Primavera 1
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fiorentina U20 host AC Milan U20 in the Primavera 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Fiorentina U20 have averaged 1.78 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against AC Milan U20's 1.13 scored and 1.4 conceded. Past meetings favor Fiorentina U20 slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.63) point toward Fiorentina U20. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Fiorentina U20
35%
Draws
37%
AC Milan U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AC Milan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • AC Milan U20 haven't matched Fiorentina U20's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Fiorentina U20 Clean Sheet 14%
AC Milan U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina U20 AC Milan U20
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.78 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Primavera 1
AC Milan U20 vs Fiorentina U20
3:3
Nov 22, 2025 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs AC Milan U20
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 Primavera 1
AC Milan U20 vs Fiorentina U20
0:1
Oct 28, 2024 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs AC Milan U20
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina U20 30 / 100
AC Milan U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina U20 AC Milan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiorentina U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina U20's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

AC Milan U20 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Fiorentina U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina U20 VS AC Milan U20
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina U20

(Home)
11 Oct
Fiorentina U20
1 : 1
Parma U20
19 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
Fiorentina U20
13 Sept
Fiorentina U20
0 : 1
Empoli U20
09 Sept
Fiorentina U20
3 : 4
Atalanta U20
05 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 3
Fiorentina U20
Page 1 of 7

AC Milan U20

(Away)
10 Oct
Atalanta U20
2 : 0
AC Milan U20
20 Sept
AC Milan U20
0 : 1
AS Roma U20
12 Sept
Verona U20
2 : 0
AC Milan U20
06 Sept
AC Milan U20
2 : 0
Juventus U20
30 Aug
Cesena U20
1 : 1
AC Milan U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U20 6 4 2 0 17:7 14
2 Parma U20 6 3 3 0 12:6 12
3 AS Roma U20 6 3 3 0 10:6 12
4 Bologna U20 6 4 0 2 16:13 12
5 Empoli U20 6 3 3 0 10:7 12
6 Genoa U20 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
7 Lazio U20 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
8 Cesena U20 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
9 Cagliari U20 6 2 2 2 9:13 8
10 Lecce U20 6 1 4 1 10:9 7
11 Verona U20 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
12 Sassuolo U20 6 2 1 3 12:14 7
13 AC Milan U20 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
14 Como U20 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
15 Atalanta U20 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
16 Torino U20 6 1 2 3 13:15 5
17 Monza U20 6 1 2 3 9:11 5
18 Fiorentina U20 6 0 4 2 6:8 4
19 Albinoleffe U20 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
20 Juventus U20 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2027/2028 (Main)