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Fiorentina U20 vs AS Roma U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sturli E.
15' Event
Almaviva M.
39' Event
Trapani N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primavera 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Fiorentina U20
35%
Draws
55%
AS Roma U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Roma U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Fiorentina U20 at 1.85 per game, AS Roma U20 at 1.59.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on AS Roma U20 taking it.
  • Regular Primavera 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fiorentina U20 Clean Sheet 13%
AS Roma U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina U20 AS Roma U20
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 14 14
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.85 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs AS Roma U20
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Primavera 1
AS Roma U20 vs Fiorentina U20
3:1
May 26, 2025 Primavera 1
AS Roma U20 vs Fiorentina U20
1:2
Feb 10, 2025 Primavera 1
AS Roma U20 vs Fiorentina U20
0:1
Sep 30, 2024 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs AS Roma U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Trapani N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

AS Roma U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Almaviva M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina U20 22 / 100
AS Roma U20 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina U20 AS Roma U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina U20's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

AS Roma U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Fiorentina U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina U20 VS AS Roma U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
Fiorentina U20
13 Sept
Fiorentina U20
0 : 1
Empoli U20
09 Sept
Fiorentina U20
3 : 4
Atalanta U20
05 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 3
Fiorentina U20
31 Aug
Fiorentina U20
0 : 1
Verona U20
Page 1 of 7

AS Roma U20

(Away)
20 Sept
AC Milan U20
0 : 1
AS Roma U20
14 Sept
AS Roma U20
1 : 1
Como U20
04 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
AS Roma U20
30 Aug
Atalanta U20
1 : 3
AS Roma U20
22 Aug
AS Roma U20
3 : 2
Monza U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiorentina U20 38 19 11 8 70:48 68
2 Parma U20 38 19 11 8 59:38 68
3 Cesena U20 38 19 10 9 70:52 67
4 AS Roma U20 38 17 12 9 59:35 63
5 Bologna U20 38 17 11 10 54:40 62
6 Inter U20 38 16 11 11 70:61 59
7 Atalanta U20 38 14 15 9 54:47 57
8 Juventus U20 38 14 13 11 52:48 55
9 Lecce U20 38 14 12 12 54:53 54
10 Genoa U20 38 12 14 12 49:52 50
11 AC Milan U20 38 11 16 11 51:49 49
12 Verona U20 38 12 12 14 55:61 48
13 Torino U20 38 11 14 13 50:50 47
14 Monza U20 38 12 11 15 37:45 47
15 Lazio U20 38 12 11 15 44:51 47
16 Sassuolo U20 38 10 14 14 51:58 44
17 Napoli U20 38 10 10 18 39:55 40
18 Cagliari U20 38 10 9 19 49:62 39
19 Frosinone U20 38 8 11 19 47:76 35
20 Cremonese U20 38 6 6 26 31:64 24
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Main)