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Fiorentina vs Benevento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gudmundsson A.
35' Event
Kean M.
Assist: Joao Mario
46'
Sub
Joao Mario In: Dodo
Out: Joao Mario

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fiorentina
30%
Draws
47%
Benevento
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiorentina haven't matched Benevento's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Benevento's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Benevento arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fiorentina, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fiorentina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 13%
Benevento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina Benevento
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.61 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Coppa Italia
Fiorentina vs Benevento
4:1
Dec 15, 2021 Coppa Italia
Fiorentina vs Benevento
2:1
Mar 13, 2021 Serie A
Benevento vs Fiorentina
1:4
Nov 22, 2020 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Benevento
0:1
Mar 11, 2018 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Benevento
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudmundsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kean M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Benevento Compare

Top Goalscorer Lamesta D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina 27 / 100
Benevento 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina Benevento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benevento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Benevento conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Fiorentina remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina VS Benevento
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina

(Home)
02 Nov
Sassuolo
2 : 4
Fiorentina
29 Oct
Fiorentina
2 : 2
Atalanta
25 Oct
Inter
2 : 1
Fiorentina
18 Oct
Fiorentina
1 : 3
Como
10 Oct
Genoa
2 : 1
Fiorentina
Page 1 of 6

Benevento

(Away)
31 Oct
Cremonese
2 : 0
Benevento
27 Oct
Benevento
1 : 1
Catanzaro
24 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 3
Benevento
17 Oct
Benevento
2 : 2
Vicenza
10 Oct
Benevento
2 : 0
Cesena
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
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Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
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Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
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Lazio -
TBD -
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Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
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Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
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Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
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Avellino -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
TBD -
Parma -
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Como -
AS Roma -
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Cagliari -
TBD -
Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
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Entella -
Juventus -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Frosinone -
TBD -
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Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
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Padova -
Venezia -
TBD -
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Modena -
TBD -
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Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
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Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
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Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa 1
Sudtirol 0
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova 2
Palermo 5
Torino 0
Monza 1
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Parma 0
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Verona 2
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo 2
Frosinone 1
Udinese 2
Venezia 1
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 0
Fiorentina 3
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
Genoa -
Bologna -
Palermo -
Monza -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Como -
AS Roma -
Verona -
Juventus -
Sassuolo -
Udinese -
Atalanta -
Fiorentina -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
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Final
TBD -
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