Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiorentina vs Como - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fiorentina host Como in the Serie A. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Fiorentina at 1.61 goals for, 1.21 against; Como at 1.79 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Fiorentina have won 2 to Como's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.69) back Como to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fiorentina
15%
Draws
54%
Como
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Como

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Como have won more games recently than Fiorentina.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Como taking it.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 13%
Como Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina Como
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.61 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Serie A
Como vs Fiorentina
1:2
Jan 27, 2026 Coppa Italia
Fiorentina vs Como
1:3
Sep 21, 2025 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Como
1:2
Feb 16, 2025 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Como
0:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie A
Como vs Fiorentina
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina 27 / 100
Como 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina Como

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Como Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Como let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Fiorentina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina VS Como
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina

(Home)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0
Pisa
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Torino
29 Aug
Fiorentina
0 : 3
Frosinone
Page 1 of 6

Como

(Away)
20 Sept
Frosinone
2 : 0
Como
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)