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Fiorentina vs Gubbio Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gudmundsson A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Fiorentina in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fiorentina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fiorentina
20%
Draws
40%
Gubbio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fiorentina lately — more wins on the board than Gubbio.
  • Win probability leans Fiorentina's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 68%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina Gubbio
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Fiorentina vs Gubbio
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina 59 / 100
Gubbio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina Gubbio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiorentina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Gubbio has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Fiorentina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina VS Gubbio
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina

(Home)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0
Pisa
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Torino
29 Aug
Fiorentina
0 : 3
Frosinone
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Gubbio

(Away)
27 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 0
Gubbio
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
16 Sept
Pescara
1 : 1
Gubbio
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4
Gubbio
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