Sport Picks
Fiorentina vs Napoli
Italy
Serie A Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence 
AI Match Summary
Fiorentina host Napoli in the Serie A. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Napoli have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Fiorentina have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.55. Past meetings favor Napoli slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.81) back Napoli to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fiorentina haven't matched Napoli's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Napoli here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiorentina | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Fiorentina scored in 76% of their last 33 games.
Napoli let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Napoli lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fiorentina
(Home)Napoli
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Inter | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Como | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Cagliari | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 7 | Frosinone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Juventus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 10 | Napoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Bologna | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 17 | Parma | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 18 | Monza | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 1 |
| 19 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | 0 |
