Sport Picks
Fiorentina vs Napoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie A Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence 
Match Events
23'
23'
Gilmour B.
Assist: Politano M.
42'
42'
Mastantuono F.
46'
46'
Sub
Viery In: Valdepenas V.
Out: Viery
AI Match Summary
The Serie A game between Fiorentina and Napoli finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Napoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Fiorentina haven't matched Napoli's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Fiorentina's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Napoli here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 13%
Napoli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiorentina | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Napoli
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Serie A
Napoli vs Fiorentina
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Napoli
1:3
Mar 9, 2025 Serie A
Napoli vs Fiorentina
2:1
Jan 4, 2025 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Napoli
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fiorentina Compare
Top Goalscorer Jimenez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Napoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Gilmour B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fiorentina 35 / 100
Napoli 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fiorentina Napoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fiorentina scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Napoli let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Fiorentina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fiorentina VS Napoli
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Fiorentina
(Home) 02 Nov
Sassuolo
2 : 4 Fiorentina
29 Oct
Fiorentina
2 : 2 Atalanta
25 Oct
Inter
2 : 1 Fiorentina
18 Oct
Fiorentina
1 : 3 Como
10 Oct
Genoa
2 : 1 Fiorentina
Page 1 of 6
29 Oct
Fiorentina
2 : 2 Atalanta
18 Oct
Fiorentina
1 : 3 Como
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Napoli
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0 Pisa
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2 Torino
Page 1 of 3
Napoli
(Away) 04 Nov
FC Porto
4 : 1 Napoli
01 Nov
Juventus
2 : 0 Napoli
28 Oct
Monza
1 : 4 Napoli
24 Oct
Napoli
3 : 3 AS Roma
20 Oct
Napoli
4 : 3 Bodo/Glimt
Page 1 of 6
04 Nov
FC Porto
4 : 1 Napoli
01 Nov
Juventus
2 : 0 Napoli
28 Oct
Monza
1 : 4 Napoli
17 Oct
Venezia
1 : 0 Napoli
13 Oct
Villarreal
3 : 1 Napoli
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
