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Fiorentina vs Pisa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Mastantuono F.
35'
Loyola F.
40' Event
Pellegrino M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fiorentina
30%
Draws
47%
Pisa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pisa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fiorentina lately — more wins on the board than Pisa.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Pisa taking it.
  • Fiorentina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fiorentina, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fiorentina have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 13%
Pisa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina Pisa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.61 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Coppa Italia
Fiorentina vs Pisa
3:0
Feb 23, 2026 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Pisa
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie A
Pisa vs Fiorentina
0:0
Feb 24, 1991 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Pisa
4:0
Oct 7, 1990 Serie A
Pisa vs Fiorentina
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrino M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gnonto W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Pisa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina 27 / 100
Pisa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina Pisa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pisa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pisa let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Fiorentina's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Fiorentina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina VS Pisa
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina

(Home)
02 Nov
Sassuolo
2 : 4
Fiorentina
29 Oct
Fiorentina
2 : 2
Atalanta
25 Oct
Inter
2 : 1
Fiorentina
18 Oct
Fiorentina
1 : 3
Como
10 Oct
Genoa
2 : 1
Fiorentina
Page 1 of 6

Pisa

(Away)
01 Nov
Avellino
2 : 0
Pisa
28 Oct
Pisa
3 : 3
Palermo
25 Oct
Verona
1 : 1
Pisa
17 Oct
Pisa
3 : 1
Cremonese
10 Oct
Vicenza
0 : 3
Pisa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
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Cagliari -
TBD -
Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
TBD -
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Entella -
Juventus -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Frosinone -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa 1
Sudtirol 0
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova 2
Palermo 5
Torino 0
Monza 1
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Parma 0
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Verona 2
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo 2
Frosinone 1
Udinese 2
Venezia 1
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 0
Fiorentina 3
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
Genoa -
Bologna -
Palermo -
Monza -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Como -
AS Roma -
Verona -
Juventus -
Sassuolo -
Udinese -
Atalanta -
Fiorentina -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -