Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiorentina vs Torino

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Inao Oulai C. In: Ndour C.
Out: Inao Oulai C.
40'
Sub
Coco S. In: Ismajli A.
Out: Coco S.
46'
Sub
Mastantuono F. In: Gnonto W.
Out: Mastantuono F.

AI Match Summary

Torino in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fiorentina
20%
Draws
29%
Torino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fiorentina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Fiorentina have won more games recently than Torino.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 16%
Torino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina Torino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Torino
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Torino
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Serie A
Torino vs Fiorentina
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Torino
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie A
Torino vs Fiorentina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrino M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Torino Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandragora R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adams C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina 31 / 100
Torino 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina Torino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Torino let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Fiorentina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina VS Torino
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina

(Home)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0
Pisa
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Torino
29 Aug
Fiorentina
0 : 3
Frosinone
Page 1 of 6

Torino

(Away)
19 Sept
Bologna
1 : 1
Torino
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2
AS Roma
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Torino
01 Sept
Torino
0 : 1
Monza
29 Aug
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Torino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)