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Fiorentina W vs Genoa W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie A Women 2025/2026 Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, Bagno a Ripoli
Fiorentina W Logo

Fiorentina W

1 - 1
FT
Genoa W Logo

Genoa W

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Severini E.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Orsi B. In: Woldvik E.
Out: Orsi B.
49'
Sondengaard A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Fiorentina W and Genoa W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fiorentina W
15%
Draws
59%
Genoa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genoa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Fiorentina W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Fiorentina W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Fiorentina W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 20%
Genoa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina W Genoa W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.45 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Serie A Women
Genoa W vs Fiorentina W
2:3
Jan 17, 2026 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Genoa W
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
Fiorentina W vs Genoa W
2:1
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Women
Genoa W vs Fiorentina W
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Genoa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Georgsdottir B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina W 36 / 100
Genoa W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina W Genoa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genoa W let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Fiorentina W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Fiorentina W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina W VS Genoa W
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina W

(Home)
27 Sept
Inter W
2 : 0
Fiorentina W
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
08 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 1
Manchester City W
Page 1 of 7

Genoa W

(Away)
27 Sept
Genoa W
1 : 0
Vicenza W
20 Sept
Vicenza W
1 : 2
Genoa W
12 Sept
Genoa W
2 : 1
Brescia W
05 Sept
Bologna W
4 : 0
Genoa W
16 May
AS Roma W
2 : 0
Genoa W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)