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Fiorentino vs Cailungo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fiorentino host Cailungo in the Campionato Sammarinese. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Fiorentino at 1.41 goals for, 1.41 against; Cailungo at 0.86 for, 2.38 against. Past meetings favor Fiorentino slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.19) point toward Fiorentino. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Fiorentino
15%
Draws
36%
Cailungo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiorentino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiorentino have won more games recently than Cailungo.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Fiorentino taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fiorentino have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 20%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentino Cailungo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 2
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.41 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Fiorentino
1:3
Nov 23, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Cailungo
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Fiorentino
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Cailungo
1:0
Jan 24, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs Fiorentino
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentino 40 / 100
Cailungo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentino Cailungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiorentino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cailungo conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Fiorentino scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Cailungo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentino VS Cailungo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentino

(Home)
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1
Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2
Fiorentino
Page 1 of 6

Cailungo

(Away)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)