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Fiorentino vs La Fiorita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Serges G.
Assist: Nigretti G.
90' Event
Pesciarelli M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Fiorentino
35%
Draws
45%
La Fiorita
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: La Fiorita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Fiorentino have won more games recently than La Fiorita.
  • 20% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 68%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentino La Fiorita
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 2 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs La Fiorita
1:1
May 5, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs La Fiorita
3:2
May 2, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Fiorentino
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs La Fiorita
1:2
Feb 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Fiorentino
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentino Compare

Top Goalscorer Pesciarelli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

La Fiorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Serges G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentino 41 / 100
La Fiorita 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentino La Fiorita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiorentino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentino found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

La Fiorita let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Fiorentino remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentino VS La Fiorita
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentino

(Home)
10 Oct
SC Faetano
0 : 6
Fiorentino
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1
Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
Page 1 of 6

La Fiorita

(Away)
09 Oct
La Fiorita
3 : 0
SS Murata
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1
San Marino Academy U22
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 5 5 0 0 15:2 15
2 Tre Fiori 5 4 0 1 15:5 12
3 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
4 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
5 La Fiorita 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 AC Libertas 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
7 Fiorentino 5 2 1 2 10:5 7
8 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
9 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
12 San Giovanni 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
13 SS Murata 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
14 SS Pennarossa 5 1 0 4 8:21 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 5 0 2 3 1:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)