Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiorentino vs San Marino Academy U22

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese Stadio di Fiorentino, Fiorentino
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Luca P.
Assist: Molinari A.
68'
Ciacci M.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese game between Fiorentino and San Marino Academy U22 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fiorentino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fiorentino
6%
Draws
4%
San Marino Academy U22
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fiorentino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fiorentino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fiorentino are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fiorentino have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 68%
San Marino Academy U22 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentino San Marino Academy U22
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Fiorentino
0:3
Dec 7, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs San Marino Academy U22
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs San Marino Academy U22
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Fiorentino
1:2
Feb 24, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Fiorentino
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentino Compare

Top Goalscorer Luca P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

San Marino Academy U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentino 95 / 100
San Marino Academy U22 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentino San Marino Academy U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marino Academy U22 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Fiorentino scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: San Marino Academy U22 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentino VS San Marino Academy U22
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentino

(Home)
05 May
Fiorentino
3 : 2
La Fiorita
02 May
La Fiorita
1 : 0
Fiorentino
25 Apr
Fiorentino
1 : 2
La Fiorita
18 Apr
SS Murata
1 : 4
Fiorentino
11 Apr
Fiorentino
1 : 2
SC Faetano
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San Marino Academy U22

(Away)
25 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
1 : 1
Cailungo
19 Apr
Folgore
3 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
11 Apr
San Giovanni
1 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
07 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 3
Fiorentino
22 Mar
Juvenes/Dogana
0 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)