Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Lisanti K.
Assist: Nunzella L.
85'
85'
Del Frari J.
AI Match Summary
Virtus in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virtus.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virtus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Fiorentino haven't matched Virtus's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Fiorentino's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Virtus have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 16%
Virtus Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiorentino | Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 15 | 24 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 2.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Virtus
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Fiorentino
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Virtus
0:4
Feb 2, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Fiorentino
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Virtus
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fiorentino Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Virtus Compare
Top Goalscorer Lisanti K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fiorentino 36 / 100
Virtus 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fiorentino Virtus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fiorentino scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Virtus let in goals in 50% of their last 36 matches.
Fiorentino went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fiorentino VS Virtus
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fiorentino
(Home) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2 Fiorentino
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
22 Aug
Fiorentino
1 : 4 Tre Penne
05 May
Fiorentino
3 : 2 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 4
Virtus
(Away) 18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0 AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 8
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
09 Jul
Dila Gori
3 : 1 Virtus
12 May
SP Domagnano
2 : 1 Virtus
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Tre Penne | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 4 | Tre Fiori | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 5 | SP Cosmos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 7 | La Fiorita | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 8 | AC Libertas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 9 | Fiorentino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 11 | Cailungo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 12 | SS Murata | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 13 | San Giovanni | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 14 | SS Pennarossa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:16 | 3 |
| 15 | San Marino Academy U22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 16 | SC Faetano | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:9 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
